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Market Commentary - Page 8

The increased likelihood of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike in December is contributing to the stiff market headwinds now faced by commodities.

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Last Friday’s national jobs report triggered an instant recalculation of the odds of a December interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve: Where it had been roughly 70-30 against an increase, now it’s about 70-30 in favor of one.

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We think we are in or near the late innings of the current business cycle, so this would be a good time for the slow-growing U.S. economy to channel its inner Kansas City Royals.

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A tentative deal to raise the federal debt ceiling, just days shy of the deadline, has defused a potentially huge threat to U.S. markets.

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This week we hosted our annual USAA Investment Forum, which included some of the brightest thinkers in the industry visiting San Antonio to discuss the broad theme of global investing in a macro-driven environment.

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