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Britain’s surprising vote to leave the European Union shook equity, currency and commodity markets in late June, but we still think the Federal Reserve was the dominant player in the first half of 2016, and there’s little reason to think that will change in the second half.

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Equity and currency markets were jolted overnight in the aftermath of Britain’s surprising vote to leave the European Union. We expect short-term volatility to continue as markets adjust to the news.

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Opportunities exist for investors who select their entry point carefully.

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Disconnect between strong market and underlying economic weakness raises risk of selloff.

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The OPEC meeting in Vienna this week comes in the midst of an oil price increase. Friday’s release of the U.S. employment numbers for May will be closely watched to see if they are in line with earlier positive data. If so, the likelihood of a Fed rate increase in June goes up considerably, which could lead to more dollar appreciation.

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